NTRS

Northern Trust CorporationUS04/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.61%

P05–P95 span

7.90%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.84

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+5.09%

Outer 90%

8/10(80%)

Middle 50%

2/10(20%)

Above median

9/10(90%)

Below median

1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -0.93%P25: 0.58%P50: 1.61%P75: 2.92%P95: 6.96%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 29.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.