Insights / us
NTRS
Northern Trust CorporationUS04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.18%
P05–P95 span
20.01%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+12.72%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -17.79%P25: -6.90%P50: -2.18%P75: -0.40%P95: 2.22%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 24.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.