Insights / us
NTRA
Natera IncUS06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.35%
P05–P95 span
16.91%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+1.56%
Outer 90%
2/3(67%)
Middle 50%
1/3(33%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.30%P25: -2.77%P50: -0.35%P75: 2.71%P95: 6.61%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.