Insights / us
NSC
Norfolk Southern CorporationUS05/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.37%
P05–P95 span
11.90%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.70%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.91%P25: 0.27%P50: 2.37%P75: 3.94%P95: 8.99%
Computed at: 05/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.