NRG

NRG Energy, Inc.US05/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.11%

P05–P95 span

13.72%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.73

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-17.97%

Outer 90%

2/10(20%)

Middle 50%

0/10(0%)

Above median

1/10(10%)

Below median

9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.75%P25: -1.73%P50: -0.11%P75: 2.11%P95: 6.97%

Computed at: 05/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.