Insights / us
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc.US06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.28%
P05–P95 span
20.98%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
-7.70%
Outer 90%
1/3(33%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
0/3(0%)
Below median
3/3(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.16%P25: -1.45%P50: 0.28%P75: 3.48%P95: 15.82%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.