Insights / us
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc.US04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.97%
P05–P95 span
10.14%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.45%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.91%P25: -0.49%P50: 0.97%P75: 3.17%P95: 7.22%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 26.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.