Insights / us
NOC
Northrop Grumman CorporationUS04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.41%
P05–P95 span
21.02%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.12%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -18.66%P25: -8.54%P50: -2.41%P75: -0.10%P95: 2.36%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 39.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.