Insights / us
NOC
Northrop Grumman CorporationUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.23%
P05–P95 span
10.63%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.28%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.61%P25: -3.65%P50: -1.23%P75: 0.17%P95: 3.02%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 39.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.