Insights / us
NKE
NIKE, Inc.US05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.22%
P05–P95 span
13.10%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+12.25%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.36%P25: -1.06%P50: 0.22%P75: 2.56%P95: 7.74%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.