NI

NiSource Inc.US06/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.95%
P05–P95 span
24.23%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+1.13%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
2/2(100%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.80%P25: -0.34%P50: 2.95%P75: 8.35%P95: 18.44%

Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.