Insights / us
NI
NiSource Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.53%
P05–P95 span
17.42%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+3.11%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
1/7(14%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.92%P25: -1.92%P50: -0.53%P75: 1.74%P95: 8.50%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.