Insights / us
NI
NiSource Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.15%
P05–P95 span
11.96%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-0.17%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
5/9(56%)
Above median
1/9(11%)
Below median
8/9(89%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.45%P25: -1.35%P50: 0.15%P75: 1.65%P95: 4.51%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.