Insights / us
NI
NiSource Inc.US05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.30%
P05–P95 span
9.94%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.37%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.71%P25: -1.11%P50: 0.30%P75: 2.05%P95: 5.23%
Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.