Insights / us
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.US05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.43%
P05–P95 span
16.99%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.10%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.01%P25: -2.87%P50: -0.43%P75: 1.32%P95: 7.99%
Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.