Insights / us
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.US04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.09%
P05–P95 span
9.33%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.52%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.46%P25: -1.22%P50: -0.09%P75: 1.35%P95: 4.88%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 35.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.