Insights / us
NEM
Newmont CorporationUS04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.19%
P05–P95 span
9.07%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.24%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.23%P25: -1.60%P50: 0.19%P75: 1.81%P95: 4.84%
Computed at: 04/30/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.