Insights / us
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.US04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.20%
P05–P95 span
9.00%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+14.17%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.86%P25: -1.60%P50: -0.20%P75: 1.04%P95: 3.13%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.