Insights / us
MTCH
Match Group, Inc.US06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.24%
P05–P95 span
15.96%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+0.03%
Outer 90%
5/5(100%)
Middle 50%
4/5(80%)
Above median
2/5(40%)
Below median
3/5(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.31%P25: -2.20%P50: -0.24%P75: 2.61%P95: 8.66%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.