MTB

M&T Bank CorporationUS05/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.38%

P05–P95 span

11.70%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.77

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+4.30%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

5/10(50%)

Above median

6/10(60%)

Below median

4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.59%P25: -2.11%P50: 0.38%P75: 2.13%P95: 5.11%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.