Insights / us
MSI
Motorola Solutions, Inc.US05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.60%
P05–P95 span
21.06%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.18%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.70%P25: -1.12%P50: 0.60%P75: 4.19%P95: 17.36%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.