MSFT

Microsoft CorporationUS06/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.03%

P05–P95 span

11.96%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.76

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+6

-10.97%

Outer 90%

1/6(17%)

Middle 50%

0/6(0%)

Above median

0/6(0%)

Below median

6/6(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.24%P25: -2.44%P50: 0.03%P75: 2.27%P95: 5.72%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.