Insights / us
MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.81%
P05–P95 span
13.41%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+1.12%
Outer 90%
5/7(71%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
2/7(29%)
Below median
5/7(71%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.59%P25: -1.19%P50: 1.81%P75: 4.81%P95: 7.82%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.