Insights / us
MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.US05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.28%
P05–P95 span
11.20%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.17%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.16%P25: -1.46%P50: -0.28%P75: 1.53%P95: 7.04%
Computed at: 05/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.