Insights / us
MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.US05/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.88%
P05–P95 span
14.99%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.75%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.65%P25: -1.97%P50: 0.88%P75: 3.97%P95: 10.34%
Computed at: 05/06/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.