Insights / us
MOH
Molina Healthcare, Inc.US05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.56%
P05–P95 span
13.43%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.29%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.95%P25: -1.39%P50: 0.56%P75: 2.68%P95: 9.48%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.