Insights / us
MOH
Molina Healthcare, Inc.US04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.48%
P05–P95 span
19.10%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+22.43%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -14.88%P25: -4.38%P50: -0.48%P75: 1.26%P95: 4.22%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 33.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.