Insights / us
MO
Altria Group, Inc.US05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.05%
P05–P95 span
14.60%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.46%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.01%P25: -1.78%P50: -0.05%P75: 1.85%P95: 7.59%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.