Insights / us
MO
Altria Group, Inc.US05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.10%
P05–P95 span
16.28%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.72%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.01%P25: -3.65%P50: -1.10%P75: 0.93%P95: 7.27%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.