Insights / us
MMM
3M CompanyUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.59%
P05–P95 span
20.09%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+3.04%
Outer 90%
3/5(60%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
5/5(100%)
Below median
0/5(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -16.29%P25: -2.57%P50: -0.59%P75: 0.91%P95: 3.80%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.