Insights / us
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.25%
P05–P95 span
17.98%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-1.45%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
6/9(67%)
Above median
6/9(67%)
Below median
3/9(33%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.62%P25: -4.57%P50: -1.25%P75: 1.00%P95: 4.35%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.