Insights / us
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.US05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.54%
P05–P95 span
17.07%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.55%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.65%P25: -2.01%P50: 0.54%P75: 2.99%P95: 7.42%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.