Insights / us
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.US04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.22%
P05–P95 span
20.77%
Neighbors
39
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.76%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -18.14%P25: -8.69%P50: -3.22%P75: -0.62%P95: 2.63%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 38.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.