Insights / us
MKTX
MarketAxess Holdings Inc.US06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.31%
P05–P95 span
17.94%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-5.46%
Outer 90%
2/6(33%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
0/6(0%)
Below median
6/6(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.26%P25: -1.07%P50: 1.31%P75: 5.14%P95: 11.68%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.