Insights / us
MKC
McCormick & Company, IncorporatedUS06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.46%
P05–P95 span
16.88%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+6.81%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
6/6(100%)
Below median
0/6(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.58%P25: -1.58%P50: 0.46%P75: 3.16%P95: 11.30%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.