Insights / us
MKC
McCormick & Company, IncorporatedUS05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.75%
P05–P95 span
12.61%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.44%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.89%P25: -2.97%P50: -0.75%P75: 1.20%P95: 5.71%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.