Insights / us
MKC
McCormick & Company, IncorporatedUS04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.24%
P05–P95 span
11.06%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.58%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.08%P25: -2.17%P50: -0.24%P75: 1.52%P95: 4.99%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 35.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.