Insights / us
MGM
MGM Resorts InternationalUS06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.90%
P05–P95 span
11.90%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-1.79%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
6/6(100%)
Above median
3/6(50%)
Below median
3/6(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.11%P25: -4.28%P50: -1.90%P75: 0.15%P95: 2.79%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.