Insights / us
MET
MetLife, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.57%
P05–P95 span
10.49%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+6.99%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
5/9(56%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.31%P25: -0.98%P50: 0.57%P75: 2.93%P95: 6.18%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.