Insights / us
MET
MetLife, Inc.US05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.03%
P05–P95 span
15.98%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.03%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.54%P25: -0.60%P50: 1.03%P75: 3.05%P95: 10.44%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.