Insights / us
MET
MetLife, Inc.US04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.03%
P05–P95 span
8.55%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.31%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.09%P25: 0.72%P50: 2.03%P75: 4.03%P95: 7.46%
Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.