Insights / us
MDT
Medtronic plcUS05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.35%
P05–P95 span
14.07%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.81%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.48%P25: -2.02%P50: -0.35%P75: 1.49%P95: 7.58%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.