Insights / us
MDT
Medtronic plcUS05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.37%
P05–P95 span
10.85%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.33%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.70%P25: -3.40%P50: -1.37%P75: 0.85%P95: 4.15%
Computed at: 05/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.