Insights / us
MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc.US04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.07%
P05–P95 span
12.56%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.21%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.13%P25: -1.71%P50: -0.07%P75: 1.87%P95: 6.43%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 21.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.