Insights / us
MCHP
Microchip Technology IncorporatedUS06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.31%
P05–P95 span
9.83%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-3.82%
Outer 90%
1/6(17%)
Middle 50%
1/6(17%)
Above median
0/6(0%)
Below median
6/6(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.46%P25: -0.36%P50: 1.31%P75: 4.00%P95: 6.37%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.