Insights / us
MCHP
Microchip Technology IncorporatedUS05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+3.04%
P05–P95 span
18.56%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+0.06%
Outer 90%
6/8(75%)
Middle 50%
4/8(50%)
Above median
2/8(25%)
Below median
6/8(75%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.24%P25: 0.00%P50: 3.04%P75: 7.47%P95: 15.32%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.