Insights / us
MCHP
Microchip Technology IncorporatedUS05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.47%
P05–P95 span
14.57%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.05%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.92%P25: -3.35%P50: -0.47%P75: 1.13%P95: 3.65%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.