Insights / us
MCHP
Microchip Technology IncorporatedUS05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.37%
P05–P95 span
12.31%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.77%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.25%P25: -1.48%P50: 0.37%P75: 2.80%P95: 7.06%
Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.