MCD

McDonald's CorporationUS06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.40%

P05–P95 span

18.11%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.64

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+3

+2.40%

Outer 90%

3/3(100%)

Middle 50%

1/3(33%)

Above median

3/3(100%)

Below median

0/3(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.87%P25: -2.98%P50: -0.40%P75: 2.30%P95: 11.25%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.