MCD

McDonald's CorporationUS05/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.64%

P05–P95 span

17.84%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.64

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+0.04%

Outer 90%

9/10(90%)

Middle 50%

7/10(70%)

Above median

7/10(70%)

Below median

3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.31%P25: -1.19%P50: 0.64%P75: 2.46%P95: 9.53%

Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 16.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.